re: Pirates are +1.5 with Skenes pitching

Big Ben's first MLB start was in 1990 on July 21 he pitched a complete game shutout.

Pitchers making their first start have somewhat of an advantage in that most likely none of the players have ever hit against them. If he can control the nerves and not miss his location or walk too many, I expect him to have a good start but going more than 5 innings is highly unlikely.

1990 MLB baseball was a different game. Skenes will absolutely be on a pitch count so zero chance he comes close to sniffing a complete game. Contrary to some posts I've seen here, MLB teams are very cautious with pitchers - especially high profile pitchers and Skenes about the highest profile pitcher to come along in years.