Vegas handicapper say's "Hogs Win"!

Arkansas at Tennessee
Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Tennessee -7 (opened -6)
Over/Under: 54.5 (opened 56)
Public: 57 percent Vols

Analysis: “The way Butch Jones tried to explain not going for two up 12 points in the fourth quarter was just pathetic. It’s OK to make mistakes. Just own it. He still hasn’t owned it all week, and that’s a shame. Not going for two there is completely unexplainable. Also, with I believe 1:26 left at their own 32 and two time outs, they only got four plays off. That’s just incompetent.

“It was a knucklehead decision to use the timeout when Florida was lined up for a 42-yard field goal with a kicker that never attempted a field goal in his whole career. Then the Gators decided to go for it, and they get it and they go score. Every small decision he made was the wrong decision. The two-minute offense was a joke. It was as if Tennessee was running a four-minute offense to use clock instead of trying to be quick.

“It’s tough to get a read on both of these teams because both had such high expectations and they’re both wounded. I think the losses to Toledo and Texas Tech aren’t looking nearly as bad as they seemed at the time. And I thought Arkansas got back to controlling time of possession and running the ball effectively last week. Brandon Allen has become a really solid quarterback. I just think Arkansas has got a better vibe and they reinvigorated themselves in terms of confidence.

“I think Tennessee is still hung over after losing to Florida the way they did, not just this year but last year and now 11 in a row, coupled with the Oklahoma loss — not that either team is in a great place emotionally, but I think Arkansas is in a better place and I like them.”

The Play: Arkansas.