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#1 Alabama vs Tennessee - Statistical Prediction Model

Posted on 10/16/17 at 12:46 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 12:46 pm
#1 ALABAMA (-34.5) VS TENNESSEE (O/U 51)
ALABAMA - 41
TENNESSEE - 9

ALABAMA
Pass Yards : 153
Rush Yards : 368
Total Yards : 521
YPP : 7.28

TENNESSEE
Pass Yards : 131
Rush Yards : 82
Total Yards : 213
YPP : 3.54

Posted by Commander Data
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2016
7289 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 12:54 pm to
I'll take it but I do expect to hang over 50 on them. No reason we can't. Maybe Jalen will hammer them like last year or have is MSU game from last year throwing for almost 300. I almost feel bad but I smell blood in the water and I'm hungry.
Posted by phil4bama
Emerald Coast of PCB
Member since Jul 2011
11454 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:18 pm to
Sooo, that's not a cover. Add in the possible rivalry boost they get in the game and the points are looking tempting. I'll bet it's over 35 by gametime.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62700 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 9:30 pm to
How coincidental is it that the predictor is picking the exact same score as our last game?
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
20750 posts
Posted on 10/16/17 at 10:16 pm to
We do seem to have a thing for scoring 41 points this year.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
15712 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 5:28 am to
quote:


I'll take it but I do expect to hang over 50 on them. No reason we can't. Maybe Jalen will hammer them like last year or have is MSU game from last year throwing for almost 300. I almost feel bad but I smell blood in the water and I'm hungry.




We are plenty efficient on offense to hang 50 on them, but the way Saban plays ball control once Bama gets a big lead really racking up numbers depends on unpredictable events line reserve RBs breaking big runs or non-offensive touchdowns.

We put over 60 on Ole Miss but only attempted 6 passes the entire second half. It took really bad defensive play to get 31 points out of an entire half of nothing but hand offs.
Posted by Gary Busey
Member since Dec 2014
33277 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 6:24 am to
Tua and Najee is going to get significant playing time, and they're going to want to show out too, so I would take Alabama covering.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
20750 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 8:50 pm to
quote:

We are plenty efficient on offense to hang 50 on them, but the way Saban plays ball control once Bama gets a big lead really racking up numbers depends on unpredictable events line reserve RBs breaking big runs or non-offensive touchdowns.

We put over 60 on Ole Miss but only attempted 6 passes the entire second half. It took really bad defensive play to get 31 points out of an entire half of nothing but hand offs.


Yep. How many times have you seen us blow out a team without scoring in the last 10 minutes of the 4th quarter? Kind of scary what our scores could be if Saban wanted to empty the chamber.
Posted by FleshEatingSalsa
Floating down the Anduin
Member since Dec 2009
12293 posts
Posted on 10/21/17 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

ALABAMA - 41
TENNESSEE - 9


Dang.

Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
16968 posts
Posted on 10/21/17 at 9:02 pm to
Ok George wtf? Do you have the sport alminac from back to the future? Your changing the score just enough so we don’t catch you.
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 10/21/17 at 10:38 pm to
That thing is working pretty well so far.

I predicted 52-0. Dang pick six,
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/22/17 at 9:16 am to
Oh hey guys
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37687 posts
Posted on 10/22/17 at 9:29 am to
Pretty good
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
20750 posts
Posted on 10/22/17 at 11:43 am to
Can you go ahead and run the model for the rest of the season so I can decide if I should invest myself emotionally?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/22/17 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Can you go ahead and run the model for the rest of the season so I can decide if I should invest myself emotionally?


Gotta let the season breath brah. More data more data.

Gonna run that LSU simulation later today. Guessing it's gonna be prettttttty prettttttty prettttttty good.
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