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Board Degenerates: Quick Question regarding Tennessee and Missouri

Posted on 11/20/14 at 3:59 pm
Posted by Tennessee Jed
Mr. SEC Rant
Member since Nov 2009
17909 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 3:59 pm
If 75% of the money is coming in on Missouri, but the line is staying at TN -3, what does that mean?
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
139674 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:00 pm to
It means someone at their gambling HQ has left their post at their computer.
Posted by RussIX
Atlanta, GA
Member since Oct 2014
144 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:00 pm to
What is leading you to think 75% of the money is coming in on Missouri?
This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 4:01 pm
Posted by CocknDawg
Near Charlotte
Member since Sep 2012
1274 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:01 pm to
Missouri has a defense--sometimes. I am picking Tennessee because of the mood in Rocky Top now.
Posted by GoldenDawg
Dawg in Exile
Member since Oct 2013
19047 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:02 pm to
I went with the Vols because I really really want them to win.

Which is also why I never bet real $$.
Posted by Tennessee Jed
Mr. SEC Rant
Member since Nov 2009
17909 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:02 pm to
Wes Rucker @wesrucker247 · 26m 26 minutes ago A few sites are saying approximately 75% of people are taking Mizzou and the 3/3.5 points against #Vols.

Wes Rucker's twitter. I would look it up myself, but those sites are undoubtedly blocked at work. I guess what I missed in the OP is that 75% of people and 75% of the money are two very different things.
This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 4:04 pm
Posted by blzr
Keeneland
Member since Mar 2011
30079 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:03 pm to
Big money on UT
Posted by Ancient Rome
Rocky Top
Member since Oct 2014
1584 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

CocknDawg


That's the spirit!

Your username made me wish I had created mine as CocknVols.

Then Vols&Shaft and I could totally hang out.

Posted by dallasga6
Scrap Metal Magnate...
Member since Mar 2009
25651 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

If 75% of the money is coming in on Missouri, but the line is staying at TN -3, what does that mean?

The public likes Mizzou, but the books like UT to win enough to take the risk on not middling the money.
Posted by Remote Controlled
Member since Apr 2013
6859 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Big money on UT


Yep. Somebody is throwing around some of that old Tenner money.
Posted by RussIX
Atlanta, GA
Member since Oct 2014
144 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

75% of people and 75% of the money are two very different things.

Gotcha, that's what I was going to say. I guess this would imply bigger average bets on TN meaning the smarts are taking TN.

Pretty sure any book out there would be shifting the line if actual $ was anywhere close to that one-sided

With just a quick look at ESPN, it looks like a few books are actually trying to encourage more bets on Missouri by giving better payouts on that side of the spread:

MIZZ: 105
TENN: -125

Posted by CocknDawg
Near Charlotte
Member since Sep 2012
1274 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

That's the spirit!

Your username made me wish I had created mine as CocknVols.

Then Vols&Shaft and I could totally hang out.


There is a story behind my handle. But I ain't telling it again.
Posted by dallasga6
Scrap Metal Magnate...
Member since Mar 2009
25651 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

With just a quick look at ESPN, it looks like a few books are actually trying to encourage more bets on Missouri by giving better payouts on that side of the spread:

MIZZ: 105
TENN: -125



Exactly...for all the blah-blah about 50-50 & make the 10% juice, the books will play the game too if they feel strongly one way or the other...
This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 4:15 pm
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 4:20 pm to
That's not how gambling works.

It may be 75% of bettors, but it's not 75% of the money or the line would have moved.

They don't care who wins. They aren't picking anyone to win. They aren't saying UT is 3 points better. They are setting a line with an attempt to get even money on both sides which apparently it so far has been since the line hasn't moved.
Posted by Mizz-SEC
Inbred Huntin' In The SEC
Member since Jun 2013
19229 posts
Posted on 11/20/14 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

JesusQuintana


Why bring sanity and accuracy to the discussion??

Go to your room...
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