Started By
Message
Auburn has covered the spread in 13 straight games
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:20 pm
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:20 pm
Pretty amazing stat. Malzahn is 22-6 against the spread as a head coach.
13
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:22 pm to Monticello
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:24 pm to Monticello
How's Bama in their last 28 games? You realize spreads are based on what 50% of the people bet on what will happen, right?
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:25 pm to Monticello
Well now I know who I should start picking in the ATS picks
This post was edited on 9/8/14 at 9:25 pm
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:25 pm to Monticello
#makeitrain
#frickbamagetmoney
#frickbamagetmoney
This post was edited on 9/8/14 at 9:27 pm
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:27 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
How's Bama in their last 28 games?
OP wasn't remotely a flame or a troll, you asshat.
This post was edited on 9/8/14 at 9:28 pm
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:27 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
You realize spreads are based on what 50% of the people bet on what will happen, right?
Yes, I'm aware of how sports betting works.
quote:
How's Bama in their last 28 games?
Bama was excellent ATS from 2008-2009. Eventually the betters adjusted and the points Bama needed to cover grew exponentially.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:29 pm to Monticello
Saw a Stat that said if you bet $100 on Auburn to cover in the last 13 games you'd have won $800,000
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:30 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
You realize spreads are based on what 50% of the people bet on what will happen, right?
That's a myth. For the Super Bowl, yes. On games where far less is bet, they want most of the money on the losing side.
ETA: Have you ever heard the term "trap game"?
This post was edited on 9/8/14 at 9:32 pm
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:36 pm to Monticello
I must have posted a dozen times on here how sports bettors had no clue last year on AU.
I know I said in the preseason AU as a home dog against Ole Piss was the lock of the century and repeated half a dozen times.
Also I posted at least 5 times the average amount AU was covering the spread by before the IB and SECCG and BCSNCG.
Seriously had to have made two dozen posts about it last year.
And it isn't just covering the spread. AU had been destroyng the spread with double digit covers in about 75% of those games. I have NEVER seen sports bettors so wrong about a team over such a long period. And I've been doing this a while and looked athundreds of thousands of lines in my life.
Teams get hot and cover for a while at times, but seriously I would like an example of a team covering by so much over such an extended period.
I know I said in the preseason AU as a home dog against Ole Piss was the lock of the century and repeated half a dozen times.
Also I posted at least 5 times the average amount AU was covering the spread by before the IB and SECCG and BCSNCG.
Seriously had to have made two dozen posts about it last year.
And it isn't just covering the spread. AU had been destroyng the spread with double digit covers in about 75% of those games. I have NEVER seen sports bettors so wrong about a team over such a long period. And I've been doing this a while and looked athundreds of thousands of lines in my life.
Teams get hot and cover for a while at times, but seriously I would like an example of a team covering by so much over such an extended period.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:36 pm to MrAUTigers
quote:
That's a myth. For the Super Bowl, yes. On games where far less is bet, they want most of the money on the losing side.
Sometimes this is true. Sometimes it's not. Like you say, it depends on how big the game is. Vegas made a shitload this Sunday because the bets were disproportionately on the favorite side while underdogs went 10-3 ATS.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:39 pm to Tiger n Miami AU83
quote:
And it isn't just covering the spread. AU had been destroyng the spread with double digit covers in about 75% of those games. I have NEVER seen sports bettors so wrong about a team over such a long period. And I've been doing this a while and looked athundreds of thousands of lines in my life.
Teams get hot and cover for a while at times, but seriously I would like an example of a team covering by so much over such an extended period.
True, but it's also unprecedented for a team to go from 0-8 to playing in the national title. It's hard to blame bettors. Everyone felt they were overrated every week and would eventually return to earth, but they just kept winning.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:40 pm to MrAUTigers
Dude, stop with the trap game. Biggest falacy ever, used by desperate gamblers forever. Been hearing that term for over 20 years now. It's a red flag for someone who thinks they know something about making lines because they read sbr.
This post was edited on 9/8/14 at 9:41 pm
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:42 pm to Monticello
quote:
Vegas made a shitload this Sunday because the bets were disproportionately on the favorite side while underdogs went 10-3 ATS.
I would venture a guess and say Vegas has a great day when most of the dogs cover.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:43 pm to Monticello
Alabama is 67-59-3 against the spread the last ten years.
Florida 66-58-3
Missouri 67-58-1
Auburn 67-57-1
Alabama 67-59-3
South Carolina 63-56-5
Most everyone else is at or below .500 ATS.
Florida 66-58-3
Missouri 67-58-1
Auburn 67-57-1
Alabama 67-59-3
South Carolina 63-56-5
Most everyone else is at or below .500 ATS.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:44 pm to Tiger n Miami AU83
quote:
Been hearing that term for over 20 years now. It'
.......and I have been burned by it more than once. I don't remember what year it was but Tub took Auburn into Arky on an absolute roll. Auburn was -1. Biggest joke of a line I have ever seen. I blew my lunch money for six months when Arky beat the shite out of our guys that day.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 9:56 pm to MrAUTigers
I won't argue with you about it. I've spent countless hours on this subject and literally thousands of hours talking to people about sports betting, and that is just talking and discussing it and various people's strategies and beliefs. I did it hard core for a while and even as a 50-60 hour a week full time job for almost 18 months. Tracked tens of thousands of bets and every dollar bet in spreadsheets. Full time. Even won money over a long period and LOTS of bets.
Anyway, there is no such thing as a trap game the way most bettors define it and think of it. I hate that mentality of vegas must know something. Loser mentality and an excuse.
No offense. Seriously. And I'll get off my soap box now.
Anyway, there is no such thing as a trap game the way most bettors define it and think of it. I hate that mentality of vegas must know something. Loser mentality and an excuse.
No offense. Seriously. And I'll get off my soap box now.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 10:00 pm to Monticello
they're due
Posted on 9/8/14 at 10:10 pm to Tiger n Miami AU83
....I was a bookie for ten years. I had over 60 clients. The lower tier buddies played $25 a game. The upper tier played up to three dimes a game. My freedom was worth more than the multiple tens of thousands of dollars I made a year. If you follow every line, it will astonish you how good the guys in Vegas are. If you think Vegas doesn't know what they are doing, the thousands of hours you spent studying it went for naught.
Posted on 9/8/14 at 10:40 pm to Tiger n Miami AU83
Did he cover in the stiff dew last year?
Page 1 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News