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Percentage chance to win each game according to ESPN stats & info

Posted on 7/10/14 at 10:59 am
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 10:59 am
I listed every game they did. Some they would only list when a team was an underdog so for the favorite team, I'd do quick math in my head so some might be wrong. I also might not have included a game under both teams. Let me know

Alabama

94.1% vs. WVU
57.5% vs. LSU
57.8% vs. Auburn
79.3% vs. UF
74.5% vs. Mississippi State
64.5% vs. Ole Miss
83.2% vs. Tennessee
69.5% vs. Texas A&M

Arkansas

34.2% vs. TTU
9.2% vs. Auburn
Only >50% are vs. Nicholls St, Northern Ill, and UAB

Auburn

81% vs. Kansas State
90.8% vs. Arkansas
42.2% vs. Alabama
54.4% vs. UGA
73.2% vs. LSU
60% vs. Mississippi State
69.9% vs. Texas A&M
65% vs. Ole Miss
69.6% vs. South Carolina

Florida

8.9% vs. FSU
20.7% vs. Alabama
49.9% vs. LSU
45.6% vs. South Carolina
35.7% vs. UGA
64.1% vs. Tennessee
67.7% vs. Mizzou

Georgia

63.4% vs. Clemson
84.9% vs. GT
41.1% vs. South Carolina
45.6% vs. Auburn
63.4% vs. Missouri
86% vs. Tennessee
92.6% vs. Vanderbilt

Kentucky

37.8% vs. Louisville
37.9% vs. Tennessee
68.7% vs. Vanderbilt

LSU

63.7% vs. Wisconsin
50.1% vs. Florida
26.8% vs. Auburn
38% vs. Texas A&M
42.5% vs. Alabama
60.3% vs. Mississippi State
65.3% vs. Ole Miss

Mississippi State

98.7% vs. USM
39.7% vs. LSU
40% vs. Auburn
25.5% vs. Alabama
47% vs. Ole Miss
52.4% vs. Texas A&M
90.5% vs. Vanderbilt

Missouri

69.4% vs. UCF
63.7% vs. Indiana
21.9% vs. South Carolina
36.6% vs. Georgia
32.3% vs. Florida
22.2% vs. Texas A&M
54.5% vs. Tennessee

Ole Miss

79.6% vs. Boise State
35.5% vs. Alabama
31.2% vs. Texas A&M
34.7% vs. LSU
35% vs. Auburn
53% vs. Mississippi State
79% vs. Tennessee

South Carolina

47.5% vs. Clemson
58.6% vs. Texas A&M
58.9% vs. Georgia
54.4% vs. Florida
30.4% vs. Auburn
78.1% vs. Missouri
86.3% vs. Tennessee

Tennessee

13% vs. Oklahoma
14% vs. Georgia
21% vs. Ole Miss
16.8% vs. Alabama
13.7% vs. South Carolina
45.5% vs. Missouri
56.7% vs. Vanderbilt
62.1% vs. Kentucky
35.9% vs. Florida

Texas A&M

91.5% vs. SMU
41.4% vs. South Carolina
47.6% vs. Mississippi State
30.5% vs. Alabama
30.1% vs. Auburn
62% vs. LSU
77.8% vs. Missouri
68.8% vs. Ole Miss

Vanderbilt
43.3% vs. Tennessee
65.2% vs. Old Dominion
9.5% vs. Mississippi State
7.4% vs. Georgia
31.3% vs. Kentucky

LINK
This post was edited on 7/10/14 at 11:07 am
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54132 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:01 am to
ESPN hates lsu
Posted by Alonzo
Member since Jun 2014
1024 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:01 am to
a&m doesn't beat ranked teams at home. Easy money.
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
61544 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:02 am to
quote:

LSU


26.8% vs. Auburn





Should be interesting



Posted by massiveattack
CharLIT/Chapel Chill
Member since Oct 2010
11551 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:02 am to
Science says long season for the corn dogs
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
10521 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:05 am to
Texas A&M

91.5% vs. SMU - too high
41.4% vs. South Carolina - too high
47.6% vs. Mississippi State - too low
30.5% vs. Alabama - too high
30.1% vs. Auburn - too high
62% vs. LSU - too low
77.8% vs. Missouri - too high
68.8% vs. Ole Miss - too high
This post was edited on 7/10/14 at 11:11 am
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:08 am to
just added the reciprocal to the Ole Miss-A&M game to your list as well
Posted by Col Reb is my mascot
Member since Feb 2012
4165 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:10 am to
quote:

35.5% vs. Alabama
34.7% vs. LSU
35% vs. Auburn


quote:

31.2% vs. Texas A&M


Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:12 am to
Different match-ups

Same way Auburn beat Ole Miss and Ole Miss beat LSU and LSU beat Auburn


some teams match up better against others
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
10521 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:14 am to
Seems like they're giving home field a big % bump too.
Posted by bherm1988
Shreveport, Louisiana
Member since Dec 2013
2755 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:18 am to
quote:

LSU: 38% vs. Texas A&M


Is this a misprint?
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:20 am to
Nope. ESPN stats/simulations and all that shite have tDecline as being real
Posted by DCRebel
An office somewhere
Member since Aug 2009
17644 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:21 am to
I wonder how much weight they but on home field advantage.
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
10521 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Is this a misprint?


Will be the highest attended game at Kyle Field for decades due to the construction transition timing. Even if we're 5-6 going into that game, we have a history of rising up for Thanksgiving. It's probably better for us if we have a bad record going in actually.
Posted by TexasAg13
San Antonio de Béxar
Member since Jul 2013
5815 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:26 am to
Arkansas

quote:

Only >50% are vs. Nicholls St, Northern Ill, and UAB


This post was edited on 7/10/14 at 11:27 am
Posted by TiggerWoods
Auburn
Member since Nov 2010
3976 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:28 am to
We are going to skullfrick LSU and their shitty QB.
Posted by EKG
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2010
43976 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:30 am to
quote:

Is this a misprint?

This is probably going to come as a surprise to you ... but outside of Baton Rouge is a world--filled with people who have the ability to be objective.


Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29177 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:32 am to
LSU has a 38% chance of beating A&M? That's incredibly generous. I would have said about 9%.
Posted by TTsTowel
RIP Bow9den/Coastie
Member since Feb 2010
91639 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:34 am to
quote:

LSU

63.7% vs. Wisconsin
50.1% vs. Florida
26.8% vs. Auburn
38% vs. Texas A&M
42.5% vs. Alabama
60.3% vs. Mississippi State
65.3% vs. Ole Miss
Auburn is going in dry!
Posted by beaver
The 755 Club
Member since Sep 2009
46861 posts
Posted on 7/10/14 at 11:39 am to
quote:

dry!


we can only pray
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