re: SEC Baseball Bubble Team Metrics (Alabama, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Florida, LSU)

The last two weekends were just awful, and thats with losing to 2 national seed teams. We were on the bubble for being a top 8 seed (with a series win against UGA and UT) and we were hosting with maybe 2 or 3 wins. Now we have fallen to the bubble. Crazy to think 2 or 3 wins would have changed that perception that much

I think being somewhat competitive in any of those games would have helped as well

We got embarrassed.

Based on metrics, Florida is the third best team on this list and should make the tournament. However they will likely finish the SEC tournament with an overall record just one game over .500. The committee may reward them for their #1 strength of schedule. We have seen the committee do such things in basketball, I feel to make a point and encourage teams to schedule tougher out of conference opponents. But if they don’t value that, it is hard to see them including Florida. Even if they did finish the season by winning a road series against the #6 team in the country.

Speaking of how teams finished the season, based on metrics and season long resume, USC should also be in. But, if the committee focuses much on how they are playing right now, they will miss it. They did really fall apart. But some of that is scheduling. Some teams had front loaded schedules, some had back loaded schedules.

Vandy is just meh all across the board. They need to win at least a couple games to have a chance. If they leave the tournament with more losses than wins it will be tough for them.

Like Vandy, LSU also needs to win at least two games in my opinion to even have a chance. The only thing that looks good for them really is how they finished the season. But, three of their last four series were against the three worst teams in the SEC; Ole Miss, Missouri, and Auburn. That is why despite finishing league play 10-5, their RPI has only risen about 10 spots.

USC, Florida, Vandy, and LSU are all in a precarious position. And their fate doesn’t just depend on how they play. They better be praying that DBU, East Carolina, Indiana St,, UC-Santa Barbara, and Louisiana Tech all win their tourneys. Because all of those teams are locks. For each one that doesn’t win their tournament, a bubble team will be bumped out.

Great thread and info brother

1) BAMA
2) LSU

3) VANDY
4) USC


5) FL

Way it's set they can't all win, I would think Tuesday's losers would have a hard time pleading over the team that just beat except LSU.