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2024 Alabama-This is who you should expect to be
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:54 am
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:54 am
W Kentucky - W
USF - W
@ Wisconsin - W
UGA - L
@ Vandy - W
South Carolina - W
@ Tenn - W
Mizzou - W
@ LSU - L
Mercer - W
@ Oklahoma - W
Auburn - W (waivered on this one)
10-2 being a lock for the playoff. I see it coming down to the Auburn game. If they have improved the way I expect them to in Freeze Year 2, this could conceivably be a playoff play-in game. Imagine how wild that scene would be.
USF - W
@ Wisconsin - W
UGA - L
@ Vandy - W
South Carolina - W
@ Tenn - W
Mizzou - W
@ LSU - L
Mercer - W
@ Oklahoma - W
Auburn - W (waivered on this one)
10-2 being a lock for the playoff. I see it coming down to the Auburn game. If they have improved the way I expect them to in Freeze Year 2, this could conceivably be a playoff play-in game. Imagine how wild that scene would be.
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Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:56 am to Tigerpaul1969
I think Alabama will go 10-2 as well. But 9-3 would not be a surprise either.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:57 am to Tigerpaul1969
Yeah, I'm afraid we may be looking past LSU to Mercer. Definitely a trap game.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:59 am to Tigerpaul1969
quote:
W Kentucky - W
USF - W
@ Wisconsin - W
UGA - W
@ Vandy - W
South Carolina - W
@ Tenn - L
Mizzou - W
@ LSU - L
Mercer - W
@ Oklahoma - L
Auburn - L
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:04 pm to ChexMix
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:09 pm to Tigerpaul1969
12-0*
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:11 pm to Tigerpaul1969
Honestly, looking at Bama's schedule this way if Saban were coaching I'd say 11-1 or 12-0.
I'm not clear enough on Deboer to have a prediction but anywhere from 11-1 to 9-3 feels like a decent prediction.
I'm not clear enough on Deboer to have a prediction but anywhere from 11-1 to 9-3 feels like a decent prediction.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:14 pm to Tigerpaul1969
Regular season doesn't really matter that much any more since you only gotta make the top12.
A few losses to clear away the rat poison is probably the best for any team these days.
A few losses to clear away the rat poison is probably the best for any team these days.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:19 pm to Hback
They were a playoff team last year. They held Ole Miss to under 80 points too.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:19 pm to Tigerpaul1969
quote:
Auburn - W (waivered on this one)
It's in Tuscaloosa, so not nearly so worried about this one.
If it were in JH, I'd be more concerned.
Auburn hasn't come within 3 scores of Alabama in T-Town since 2010.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:19 pm to 3down10
quote:
Regular season doesn't really matter that much any more since you only gotta make the top12.
A few losses to clear away the rat poison is probably the best for any team these days.
You don't want 3 losses. That puts you very much on the borderline of getting in the playoff.
This past season the top 12 teams had 2 losses or less prior to bowl games. LSU was at 13th with a 9-3 record.
TEams will occasionally make it in with 3 losses, but it won't be frequent. It will probably mostly be teams that get their 3rd loss in a CCG.
If you change "a few losses" to "a loss or two" though, your statement works.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:22 pm to Tigerpaul1969
quote:
10-2 being a lock for the playoff.
This isn't necessarily true for anyone.. we all thought it would be, but I came up with a scenario where 9 SEC teams end up 10-2.
Georgia
Alabama
Texas
LSU
Ole Miss
Tennessee
Missouri
Oklahoma
Texas A&M
Is that going to happen? Nope. But it's possible there will be 3-5.. perhaps even a good chance of it. Losing in the SEC Champ game could leave 1 of those teams on the outside looking in..
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:23 pm to DawginSC
quote:
You don't want 3 losses. That puts you very much on the borderline of getting in the playoff.
This past season the top 12 teams had 2 losses or less prior to bowl games. LSU was at 13th with a 9-3 record.
TEams will occasionally make it in with 3 losses, but it won't be frequent. It will probably mostly be teams that get their 3rd loss in a CCG.
If you change "a few losses" to "a loss or two" though, your statement works.
Depends on who you lose to really.
I'm not going to watch any of it either way.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:24 pm to BigBro
quote:
This isn't necessarily true for anyone.. we all thought it would be, but I came up with a scenario where 9 SEC teams end up 10-2.
Georgia
Alabama
Texas
LSU
Ole Miss
Tennessee
Missouri
Oklahoma
Texas A&M
Is that going to happen? Nope. But it's possible there will be 3-5.. perhaps even a good chance of it. Losing in the SEC Champ game could leave 1 of those teams on the outside looking in..
If 9 SEC teams end up 10-2, it's unlikely that more than 1 or 2 will make it.
Because they won't be quality losses.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:25 pm to captdalton
How Welsh? This Welsh
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:29 pm to BigBro
quote:
Losing in the SEC Champ game could leave 1 of those teams on the outside looking in..
The loser of the SECCG won't get left out in favor of a team that didn't make it(even with an additional loss), unless it's just an absolute blowout.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:32 pm to 3down10
quote:
Depends on who you lose to really.
I'm not going to watch any of it either way.
People say that it depends on who you lose to... but it really doesn't.
Who you lose to (or beat) is more about where you're ranked within the group of P5 teams with the same number of losses.
Last year prior to bowls, the ONLY example in the CFP poll of a P5 team with fewer losses being ranked below teams with more losses was FSU (with 0 losses) being behind Bama and Texas (with 1 loss). That was mainly due to their QB getting injured more than who they played.
Lose 2 or less, you're probably in.
Lose 3 or more, you're probably out.
Lose your third game in your CCG... you're on the bubble.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:35 pm to 3down10
Assuming a team wins all other games (they won't).. but then we have
Games against each other
Missouri (1-2) at Alabama, at A&M, Oklahoma
Ole Miss (1-2) Georgia, Oklahoma, at LSU
Tennessee (1-2) Alabama, at Oklahoma, at Georgia
Texas (1-2) Georgia, at A&M, Oklahoma *
Texas A&M (1-2) Missouri, LSU, Texas
Georgia (2-2) at Texas, at Alabama, at Ole Miss, Tennessee
LSU (2-2) Ole Miss, at A&M, Alabama, Oklahoma
Alabama (3-2) Georgia, at Tennessee, Missouri, at LSU, at Oklahoma
Oklahoma (4-2) Tennessee, Texas *, at Missouri, at Ole Miss, Alabama, at LSU
--------------
eta: Alabama and Oklahoma at 10-2 would likely be locks in this outcome. Georgia and LSU would probably be the next 2.. this won't happen, I was just saying that making the playoffs at 10-2 is not a given.. but it probably is with Alabama's schedule
Games against each other
Missouri (1-2) at Alabama, at A&M, Oklahoma
Ole Miss (1-2) Georgia, Oklahoma, at LSU
Tennessee (1-2) Alabama, at Oklahoma, at Georgia
Texas (1-2) Georgia, at A&M, Oklahoma *
Texas A&M (1-2) Missouri, LSU, Texas
Georgia (2-2) at Texas, at Alabama, at Ole Miss, Tennessee
LSU (2-2) Ole Miss, at A&M, Alabama, Oklahoma
Alabama (3-2) Georgia, at Tennessee, Missouri, at LSU, at Oklahoma
Oklahoma (4-2) Tennessee, Texas *, at Missouri, at Ole Miss, Alabama, at LSU
--------------
eta: Alabama and Oklahoma at 10-2 would likely be locks in this outcome. Georgia and LSU would probably be the next 2.. this won't happen, I was just saying that making the playoffs at 10-2 is not a given.. but it probably is with Alabama's schedule
This post was edited on 5/20/24 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 5/20/24 at 1:38 pm to 3down10
quote:
Regular season doesn't really matter that much any more since you only gotta make the top12.
Exactly and teams will start to sit players in the last game or two to save them for the playoffs like the NFL. The rivalries won't mean as much because of that but we should at least get a lot more exciting post season with the playoffs, but the other bowl games will continue to mean less and less.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 1:41 pm to BigBro
quote:
I was just saying that making the playoffs at 10-2 is not a given.. but it probably is with Alabama's schedule
It might be a given for B10 and SEC teams. With the Big 12 being much weaker at the top without Texas/OU and the ACC being way behind the top 2 conferences as well, it's tough to imagine 2-loss teams from those conferences being ranked ahead of 2-loss SEC/Big 10 teams.
I suppose it could happen if their OOC was strong enough. But it wouldn't be likely.
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